Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.009592 0.011467 0.013768 0.016852 0.020965 0.026394 0.034341
2025-03-16 0.007342 0.009543 0.012593 0.017321 0.024857 0.037218 0.061186
2025-03-23 0.006053 0.008283 0.011623 0.017335 0.027705 0.047962 0.098835
2025-03-30 0.005068 0.007175 0.010501 0.016594 0.028780 0.056163 0.143102
2025-04-06 0.004425 0.006442 0.009768 0.016233 0.030340 0.066614 0.215131
2025-04-13 0.004049 0.006058 0.009517 0.016665 0.033782 0.085158 0.379740
2025-04-20 0.003830 0.005891 0.009603 0.017783 0.039512 0.118096 0.858493
2025-04-27 0.003597 0.005661 0.009517 0.018498 0.044683 0.158408 2.186889
2025-05-04 0.003328 0.005326 0.009160 0.018478 0.047711 0.196227 5.828974
2025-05-11 0.003097 0.005029 0.008832 0.018433 0.050729 0.243335 23.975929
2025-05-18 0.002861 0.004697 0.008377 0.017942 0.051908 0.283449 176.475978
2025-05-25 0.002624 0.004340 0.007821 0.017048 0.051068 0.306807 7902.113255
2025-06-01 0.002428 0.004063 0.007447 0.016714 0.053119 0.379768 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002303 0.003916 0.007347 0.017178 0.059520 0.564902 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002165 0.003727 0.007120 0.017193 0.063953 0.791447 NaN
2025-06-22 0.002003 0.003470 0.006695 0.016460 0.063785 0.934730 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001878 0.003280 0.006405 0.016103 0.065709 1.216642 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001805 0.003192 0.006350 0.016530 0.073358 2.111037 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001767 0.003175 0.006470 0.017635 0.087948 5.612276 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001714 0.003118 0.006479 0.018343 0.101287 17.696433 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001638 0.003002 0.006315 0.018322 0.108343 52.114405 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001567 0.002893 0.006156 0.018278 0.115560 286.075823 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001487 0.002758 0.005909 0.017792 0.117303 2238.176474 NaN